Bitcoin’s Potential Surge to $330K: Analyzing the Trends
Technical analysts suggest Bitcoin (BTC) could reach $330,000 before the current bull market ends. This projection relies on the AVIV Ratio and power law model, which have historically signaled Bitcoin’s market cycles.
Understanding the AVIV Ratio
The AVIV Ratio measures Bitcoin’s active market activity against its total invested value, excluding miner rewards. When this ratio exceeds its +3σ mean deviation, it typically marks a cycle peak. Current levels remain below this threshold, suggesting further growth potential.
Institutional Activity and OTC Trends
CryptoQuant data reveals a 17.5% drop in Bitcoin holdings on over-the-counter desks since 2025. Major players like BlackRock and Metaplanet appear to be moving assets off exchanges, potentially reducing immediate selling pressure.
Power Law Model Projections
Researcher Sminston With applied a 365-day moving average to the power law model (R²=0.96), projecting a price range of $220,000-$330,000 for this cycle. The model demonstrates Bitcoin’s consistent pattern of significant price fluctuations.
Market Indicators Suggest Continued Growth
Key metrics like the Pi Cycle Top and MVRV ratio indicate the bull market still has momentum. While these tools provide valuable insights, market participants should remember that all predictions involve substantial risk.
